100 / 404
2 0 1 6 /
Y e a r b o o k /
T a i w a n S p o r t i n g G o o d s M a n u f a c t u r e r s A s s o c i a t i o n
100
or city governments. And with increasing national physical strength, there are better achievement of national
preventive healthcare and few people seek for medical treatment. When the people seek for medical becomes
fewer, the medical and health insurance expenditure will be also decreased. There will be more insurance
income for the government to cover critical illness and realize the policy: take good care of disprivilege group or
people.
When the national death rate cannot be lowered, the government needs to spend more insurance funds to
stimulate sporting willingness and make those who hardly do sports understand the importance of sports vis-à-
vis physical health. Meanwhile, the number of regular sporting population would keep going up and these two
targets could be achieved at the same time. Overall, when the national cooperating level is high, the number of
completed cases would be also increasing. Thus, the whole strategy could be carried out smoothly and serve the
purposes. Also for those who promote the strategy, they would be more active to operate the laws which are
beneficial to people’s physical and mental health. Accordingly the pressure to increase insurance fees would be
eased and on the contrary, people would have more trust and confidence in the government.
4. Results and discussions
Using the system dynamic model constructed by System Dynamics, the following passages are to proceed the
strategic situation simulation and to discuss.
4.1 Simulation and results
In this study, we choose high, middle, low strategy implementation rates and see the influences on the future
development of national health insurance and meanwhile carry out the simulation for the next two years.
At first, we are to adjust two variables, strategy implementation rate and national death rate and compare it
with central national insurance funds, medical and health insurance expenses, the achievement of national
preventive healthcare and so on. Then we can find out the best strategy implementation rate of national health
insurance.
In the first strategy condition, we setup the conditions as followed: high strategy implementation rate (85%),
national death rate (20%), national physical strength enhancement rate (5%), and national responding and
cooperating level (0.5) and proceed the simulation (see Figure 4).
From the above Figure, when the government actively promote national health insurance and sports strategy,
people might enthusiastically get involved for the first 11 months. Therefore most people might boost their